Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%).
