Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
