Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 34.61%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.8%) and 1-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (13.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.