Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 47.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for AEK Athens had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for an AEK Athens win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.