Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
