SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 73.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.1%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Lamia win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Lamia |
73.7% ( -0.22) | 17.3% ( 0.1) | 8.99% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 41.1% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( -0.04) | 46.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( -0.03) | 68.71% ( 0.03) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( -0.07) | 11.06% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.59% ( -0.15) | 35.41% ( 0.15) |
| Lamia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.21% ( 0.25) | 53.79% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.85% ( 0.15) | 87.15% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Lamia |
| 2-0 @ 14.42% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 73.7% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.46% Total : 17.3% | 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.64% Total : 8.99% |
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