SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | AEK Athens |
22.97% ( -0.57) | 25.82% ( -0.22) | 51.2% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 47.34% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.44% ( 0.3) | 55.56% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.27% ( 0.25) | 76.73% ( -0.25) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.49% ( -0.38) | 39.51% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.8% ( -0.35) | 76.2% ( 0.35) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( 0.46) | 21.75% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.07% ( 0.7) | 54.93% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.97% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10% ( 0.16)1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.2% |
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