SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 11.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.37%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for an Atromitos win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Atromitos |
69.3% ( -0.29) | 19.38% ( 0.06) | 11.32% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 43.05% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.31% ( 0.35) | 48.69% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% ( 0.31) | 70.8% ( -0.31) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% ( 0.02) | 12.93% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.62% ( 0.04) | 39.38% ( -0.04) |
| Atromitos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.45% ( 0.65) | 50.56% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.96% ( 0.44) | 85.04% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Atromitos |
| 2-0 @ 13.67% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 69.29% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.54% Total : 19.38% | 0-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 11.32% |
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