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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2021 at 1pm UK
Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
2 - 2
Apollon Smirnis

Warda (29'), Ingi Ingason (88')
Ingi Ingason (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tsambouris (52' pen.), Segovia (81')
Tsambouris (56')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between PAOK and Apollon Smirnis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 12.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for an Apollon Smirnis win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
PAOKDrawApollon Smirnis
67.34%20.26%12.4%
Both teams to score 43.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.28%49.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.26%71.73%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17%13.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.81%41.19%
Apollon Smirnis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.69%49.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.82%84.18%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 67.33%
    Apollon Smirnis 12.4%
    Draw 20.26%
PAOKDrawApollon Smirnis
1-0 @ 13.49%
2-0 @ 13.34%
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 8.8%
3-1 @ 6.22%
4-0 @ 4.35%
4-1 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.2%
5-0 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 67.33%
1-1 @ 9.54%
0-0 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 3.34%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 20.26%
0-1 @ 4.82%
1-2 @ 3.37%
0-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 12.4%

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