SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.71%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.48%), while for a Lamia win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Lamia |
59.87% ( -0.32) | 25.39% ( 0.15) | 14.74% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 36.29% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.76% ( -0.22) | 63.24% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.36% ( -0.16) | 82.64% ( 0.16) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( -0.22) | 21.32% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.72% ( -0.34) | 54.27% ( 0.34) |
| Lamia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.12% ( 0.11) | 53.88% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.8% ( 0.07) | 87.2% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Lamia |
| 1-0 @ 17.75% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 13.71% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 59.86% | 0-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.09) 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 2.62% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 14.74% |
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