Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	AEK Athens
37.28% ( -0.01)	28.79% ( -0)	33.93% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.38% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.84% (

0.02)

61.16% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.88% (

0.01)

81.11% (

-0.01)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.47%

31.53% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.08%

67.92% (

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.28% (

0.02)

33.72% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.62% (

0.02)

70.38% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Aris Thessaloniki 37.28%

AEK Athens 33.92%

Draw 28.79%

Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	AEK Athens
1-0 @ 12.27% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.28%	1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.79%	0-1 @ 11.55% 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.92%