SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 66.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.49%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Ionikos win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Ionikos |
66.86% ( 0.01) | 20.63% ( -0.01) | 12.5% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.89% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.03% ( 0.01) | 50.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.16% ( 0.01) | 72.83% ( -0.02) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( 0.01) | 14.37% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.75% ( 0.02) | 42.25% ( -0.02) |
| Ionikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.09% ( -0) | 49.9% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.41% | 84.59% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Ionikos |
| 1-0 @ 13.91% 2-0 @ 13.49% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 8.73% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.23% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.19% Total : 66.85% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.26% Other @ 0.53% Total : 20.63% | 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 12.5% |
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