SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 41.73%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 28.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 0-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Asteras Tripolis in this match.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Panserraikos |
41.73% ( -0.06) | 29.66% ( 0.06) | 28.61% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.59% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.93% ( -0.17) | 65.07% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.06% ( -0.12) | 83.94% ( 0.12) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( -0.13) | 30.85% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( -0.15) | 67.13% ( 0.15) |
| Panserraikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.14% ( -0.09) | 39.85% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.48% ( -0.09) | 76.52% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Panserraikos |
| 1-0 @ 14.45% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 41.72% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.65% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 28.6% |
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