Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.45%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
-0) 
0.02) 
