SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 64.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Panserraikos |
64.75% ( 0.2) | 21.72% ( -0.09) | 13.52% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 42.53% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.95% ( 0.12) | 53.05% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.36% ( 0.1) | 74.64% ( -0.1) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.27% ( 0.11) | 15.73% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.17% ( 0.19) | 44.82% ( -0.19) |
| Panserraikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.46% ( -0.1) | 49.53% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.67% ( -0.07) | 84.33% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Panserraikos |
| 1-0 @ 14.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 64.74% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.72% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 13.52% |
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