Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atromitos win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atromitos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atromitos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
40.81% ( 0.39) | 27.71% ( -0.12) | 31.48% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 47.91% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.23% ( 0.34) | 57.77% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.49% ( 0.27) | 78.5% ( -0.28) |
Atromitos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.21% ( 0.38) | 27.79% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.63% ( 0.49) | 63.37% ( -0.49) |
Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.34% ( -0.02) | 33.65% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.69% ( -0.02) | 70.3% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Atromitos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
1-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.48% |
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