SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 16.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for an Atromitos win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Atromitos |
60.77% ( 0.24) | 23.09% ( -0.22) | 16.13% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.56% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.35% ( 0.78) | 53.64% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% ( 0.65) | 75.14% ( -0.66) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.7% ( 0.37) | 17.29% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.36% ( 0.64) | 47.64% ( -0.65) |
| Atromitos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.88% ( 0.43) | 46.12% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.18% ( 0.33) | 81.81% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Atromitos |
| 1-0 @ 13.99% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.46% Total : 60.77% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.35% Total : 16.13% |
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