SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 49.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for an Atromitos win it was 1-0 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atromitos | Draw | Panathinaikos |
23.94% ( 0.05) | 26.41% ( 0.01) | 49.65% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.72% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.11% ( 0.01) | 56.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.2% ( 0.01) | 77.8% ( -0.01) |
| Atromitos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.67% ( 0.06) | 39.33% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.97% ( 0.06) | 76.03% ( -0.06) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( -0.03) | 22.99% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( -0.03) | 56.78% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atromitos | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.94% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 49.64% |
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