SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Panathinaikos |
30.16% ( 0.86) | 29.8% ( -0.53) | 40.04% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 41.86% ( 1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.95% ( 1.77) | 65.05% ( -1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.07% ( 1.21) | 83.93% ( -1.21) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.4% ( 1.69) | 38.6% ( -1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.66% ( 1.57) | 75.34% ( -1.57) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% ( 0.72) | 31.83% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.73% ( 0.82) | 68.27% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.58% Total : 30.16% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.83)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.78% | 0-1 @ 14.06% ( -0.65) 0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.21)1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.04% |
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