Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.