Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 11.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.8%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for an Atromitos win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.