SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 73.2%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 9.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.46%) and 0-3 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Lamia win it was 1-0 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lamia | Draw | PAOK |
9.81% ( 0.83) | 16.98% ( 0.88) | 73.2% ( -1.72) |
| Both teams to score 45.43% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.55% ( -1.42) | 42.44% ( 1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.15% ( -1.43) | 64.85% ( 1.43) |
| Lamia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.54% ( 0.82) | 49.45% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.72% ( 0.57) | 84.27% ( -0.58) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.87% ( -0.79) | 10.12% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.68% ( -1.83) | 33.31% ( 1.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lamia | Draw | PAOK |
| 1-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.2% Total : 9.81% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.65% Total : 16.98% | 0-2 @ 13.13% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.33)0-3 @ 10.02% ( -0.41)1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 7.06% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 5.74% ( -0.44)1-4 @ 4.04% ( -0.21)0-5 @ 2.63% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)0-6 @ 1% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.1% Total : 73.19% |
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