SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 73.77%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 8.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.17%) and 3-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
73.77% ( -0.55) | 17.3% ( 0.36) | 8.94% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 40.88% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.42% ( -0.94) | 46.58% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.15% ( -0.89) | 68.86% ( 0.89) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.91% ( -0.4) | 11.09% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.53% ( -0.88) | 35.47% ( 0.88) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.98% ( -0.17) | 54.02% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.71% ( -0.11) | 87.29% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 2-0 @ 14.48% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 13.17% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.38% Total : 73.76% | 1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 17.3% | 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.62% Total : 8.94% |
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