SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Lamia win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Lamia |
61.5% ( 0.74) | 21.94% ( -0.05) | 16.56% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 48.75% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% ( -0.94) | 48.47% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% ( -0.86) | 70.6% ( 0.86) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.75% ( -0.07) | 15.25% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.07% ( -0.14) | 43.93% ( 0.14) |
| Lamia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( -1.42) | 42.47% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.16% ( -1.24) | 78.84% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Lamia |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.38)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 61.5% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.83% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.56% |
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