Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.
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