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Europa League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
0 - 1
FCSB


M (3'), Sastre (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Birligea (45+8')
Tanase (16'), Popescu (43'), Olaru (45+4'), Birligea (74'), Tarnovanu (86')
Olaru (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAOK 0-1 Aris
Sunday, September 29 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Sepsi 0-1 FCSB
Sunday, September 29 at 7.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga

We said: PAOK 2-0 FCSB

Despite the teams' contrasting results in the first round of fixtures in the Europa League league phase, PAOK boast more quality and continental experience in their ranks than the visitors and should have enough to open their account with home advantage on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest FCSB win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
PAOKDrawFCSB
49.79% (-0.264 -0.26) 23.93% (0.288 0.29) 26.27% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.46% (-0.997 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.83% (-1.308 -1.31)45.17% (1.303 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.48% (-1.267 -1.27)67.51% (1.262 1.26)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (-0.598 -0.6)18.21% (0.592 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (-1.029 -1.03)49.23% (1.023 1.02)
FCSB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (-0.714 -0.71)30.96% (0.709 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (-0.843 -0.84)67.26% (0.83800000000001 0.84)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 49.79%
    FCSB 26.27%
    Draw 23.93%
PAOKDrawFCSB
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.18% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 49.79%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.309 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.239 0.24)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 26.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PAOK 0-1 Aris
Sunday, September 29 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-1 PAOK
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Volos 1-4 PAOK
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 0-0 Panathinaikos
Sunday, September 15 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Atromitos 1-2 PAOK
Sunday, September 1 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Shamrock 0-2 PAOK
Thursday, August 29 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sepsi 0-1 FCSB
Sunday, September 29 at 7.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: FCSB 4-1 RFS
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: FCSB 1-1 Petrolul 52
Saturday, September 21 at 7.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: CFR Cluj 2-2 FCSB
Sunday, September 15 at 7pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: FCSB 2-0 UTA Arad
Sunday, September 1 at 7.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: FCSB 1-0 LASK
Thursday, August 29 at 7.30pm in Europa League


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