Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for AEK Athens had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for an AEK Athens win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olympiacos in this match.
