Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for AEK Athens had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for an AEK Athens win it was 1-0 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.