Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.68%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.