Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Panetolikos had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.67%) and 1-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Panetolikos win was 1-0 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Panetolikos	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
31.4% ( 0.31)	30.32% ( 0.16)	38.28% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 40.91% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.63% (

-0.43)

66.37% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.16% (

-0.29)

84.84% (

0.29)

Panetolikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.62% (

-0.01)

38.38% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.86% (

-0.01)

75.14% (

0.01)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.39% (

-0.52)

33.61% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.74% (

-0.57)

70.26% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Panetolikos 31.4%

Aris Thessaloniki 38.27%

Draw 30.31%

Panetolikos	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 31.4%	1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.31%	0-1 @ 14.06% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.27%