SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Levadiakos | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Panetolikos | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | OFI Crete | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Volos | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Aris Thessaloniki | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Panetolikos had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.67%) and 1-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Panetolikos win was 1-0 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panetolikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
31.4% ( 0.31) | 30.32% ( 0.16) | 38.28% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 40.91% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.63% ( -0.43) | 66.37% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.16% ( -0.29) | 84.84% ( 0.29) |
| Panetolikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% ( -0.01) | 38.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.86% ( -0.01) | 75.14% ( 0.01) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( -0.52) | 33.61% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.74% ( -0.57) | 70.26% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panetolikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 31.4% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.31% | 0-1 @ 14.06% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.1)1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.27% |
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