SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AEK Athens | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Aris Thessaloniki | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Asteras Tripolis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neftchi Baku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neftchi Baku | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
36.82% ( 0.27) | 27.44% ( 0.01) | 35.74% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.51% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.87% ( -0.04) | 56.12% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.81% ( -0.03) | 77.19% ( 0.03) |
| Neftchi Baku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( 0.15) | 29.3% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% ( 0.18) | 65.27% ( -0.19) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( -0.2) | 29.97% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.91% ( -0.24) | 66.08% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neftchi Baku | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.73% |
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