Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ionikos win with a probability of 46.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ionikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ionikos would win this match.
