SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 25 | 13 | 43 |
| 4 | Aris Thessaloniki | 25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 25 | 18 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Neman | 14 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Gomel | 15 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 15 | -2 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Gomel |
48.9% ( 0.03) | 24.87% ( 0.06) | 26.23% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( -0.29) | 49.22% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -0.26) | 71.28% ( 0.27) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.84% ( -0.1) | 20.16% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.56% ( -0.16) | 52.44% ( 0.17) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.86% ( -0.21) | 33.14% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% ( -0.24) | 69.75% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 48.9% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 26.23% |
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