SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hellas Verona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
62.35% ( -0.79) | 21.46% ( 0.41) | 16.18% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% ( -1.06) | 47.14% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( -0.99) | 69.37% ( 0.99) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.46% ( -0.59) | 14.54% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.42% ( -1.14) | 42.57% ( 1.13) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.84% ( -0.15) | 42.16% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.43% ( -0.13) | 78.57% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.47% Total : 62.35% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.46% | 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.18% |
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