Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ionikos win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ionikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 2-1 (7.1%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (12.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.