Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panetolikos win with a probability of 36.18%. A draw had a probability of 33.2% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 30.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panetolikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.45%) and 2-1 (6.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.03%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 0-1 (14.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Panetolikos in this match.