Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 69.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 10.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.82%) and 0-3 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.