Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 14.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.