Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.