SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 44.67% | 27.6% | 27.72% |
| Both teams to score 46.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.23% | 58.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.71% | 79.28% |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% | 26.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.7% | 61.29% |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.93% | 37.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.14% | 73.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 8.65% 3-0 @ 3.89% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.05% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.78% Total : 27.72% |
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