Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an Atromitos win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.