Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.