Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a PAS Giannina win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.