Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAS Giannina win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 25.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAS Giannina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for an Apollon Smirnis win it was 0-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.