Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Volos had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Volos win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
