SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 62.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
62.23% ( 0.83) | 22.67% ( -0.56) | 15.1% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 43.56% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% ( 1.57) | 53.77% ( -1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.75% ( 1.3) | 75.24% ( -1.31) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% ( 0.85) | 16.83% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.18% ( 1.5) | 46.82% ( -1.5) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.37% ( 0.55) | 47.62% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.04% ( 0.41) | 82.95% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 14.28% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.54% Total : 62.22% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.1% |
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