SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 45.22%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | OFI Crete |
45.22% ( -1.1) | 27.98% ( 0.48) | 26.79% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 44.81% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.47% ( -1.3) | 60.53% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.36% ( -0.99) | 80.64% ( 0.99) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.26% ( -1.15) | 26.74% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.99% ( -1.54) | 62% ( 1.54) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.17% ( -0.19) | 38.83% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.44% ( -0.18) | 75.56% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | OFI Crete |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.9% Total : 45.22% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.79% |
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