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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
3 - 0
Varda SE

Hussain (63'), Fofana (80'), Linnes (82')
Breivik (62'), Hussain (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kravchenko (59'), Otvos (64'), Ilievski (90+3')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Molde and Kisvarda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Molde 3-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 31 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Varda SE 1-0 Kairat
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawVarda SE
50.86% (0.089999999999996 0.09) 22.06% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 27.08% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 63.85% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.24% (0.25899999999999 0.26)35.76% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.17% (0.286 0.29)57.83% (-0.286 -0.29)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (0.123 0.12)14.36% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.77% (0.236 0.24)42.23% (-0.238 -0.24)
Varda SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.111 0.11)25.44% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (0.152 0.15)60.27% (-0.154 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Molde 50.86%
    Varda SE 27.08%
    Draw 22.06%
MoldeDrawVarda SE
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 4.17% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.014 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 50.86%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.06%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 27.08%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 31 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Elfsborg 1-2 Molde
Thursday, July 28 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sandefjord 2-3 Molde
Sunday, July 24 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 4-1 Elfsborg
Thursday, July 21 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Molde 1-0 Haugesund
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 5-1 Tromso
Sunday, July 10 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Varda SE 1-0 Kairat
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kairat 0-1 Varda SE
Thursday, July 21 at 3pm in Europa Conference League


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