SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 17 | 20 | 39 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 16 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 18 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Varda SE |
50.86% ( 0.09) | 22.06% ( -0.06) | 27.08% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.85% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.24% ( 0.26) | 35.76% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.17% ( 0.29) | 57.83% ( -0.29) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.64% ( 0.12) | 14.36% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.77% ( 0.24) | 42.23% ( -0.24) |
| Varda SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( 0.11) | 25.44% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.73% ( 0.15) | 60.27% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Varda SE |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 50.86% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.08% |
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