Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.06) 
