SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 77.47%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Varda SE had a probability of 8.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Varda SE win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Galatasaray in this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Varda SE |
77.47% ( 0.03) | 13.82% ( -0.03) | 8.71% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.13% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.68% ( 0.13) | 30.32% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.42% ( 0.16) | 51.58% ( -0.16) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.67% ( 0.04) | 6.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.2% ( 0.09) | 23.8% ( -0.09) |
| Varda SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.72% ( 0.09) | 43.28% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.48% ( 0.08) | 79.53% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Varda SE |
| 2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 6.62% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.16% Total : 77.47% | 1-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.82% | 1-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 8.71% |
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