Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.