SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Fehervar had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Fehervar win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Debrecen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Debrecen | Draw | Fehervar |
55.24% ( 0.48) | 22.99% ( -0.17) | 21.77% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( 0.35) | 45.46% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( 0.33) | 67.79% ( -0.33) |
| Debrecen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( 0.29) | 16.32% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.1% ( 0.53) | 45.9% ( -0.53) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.01% ( -0.11) | 35% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.26% ( -0.11) | 71.74% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Debrecen | Draw | Fehervar |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 55.24% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 21.77% |
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