Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Debrecen had a probability of 15.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Debrecen win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.01) 
